Skip to main content

Built to Count Rocks & Dorks — Not Just Lands

Explore mana probabilities for supported cards and compare mulligan strategies.

Dorks = mana creatures. Rocks = mana artifacts. We count both.

Standard · Pioneer · Modern · Pauper · Commander · Limited — all supported
See The Real Odds
Rocks & Dorks Included
Smart Mulligan Advice
Try a basic-land exact example
Sample result · Health Score 87% · Excellent

Illustrative color access score: average turn-two access to required colors. This is not the percentage of spells cast on curve or a keep recommendation.

Lightning Bolt 94%
Sheoldred 81%
Ramp counted
Built on Frank Karsten's manabase research · rocks & dorks included

Free. No signup. Calculations and saved analyses stay in this browser. Card lookups and images use Scryfall; fonts use external providers. See our privacy policy.

40-card pools, 60-card lists, 100-card singletons — one engine, same rigor.

The math tells you what to play.The canon tells you why.

The Canon

Competitive MTG, curated.

From Karsten's manabase math to Saito's tournament mindset — 65 curated references organized by skill level. Dead links restored via archive.org.

65 references · 5 curated tracks · Karsten · PVDDR · Saito · Chapin · Budde
Powered By

Rigorous Mathematics

Not guesswork. Real math behind every number — so you can trust the advice.

Castability Models

Per spell

Default estimates and explicit exact-model limits

Hypergeometric distribution
Proven Land Targets

90%

How many color sources you need to cast your spells on curve

Frank Karsten tables
Smart Mulligan Advice

Keep / Mull

10,000 hands simulated to find your optimal keep/mull thresholds

Monte Carlo + Bellman
The Intellectual Canon

The Competitive Reading Library

Every essential article a Magic player should read, in one place. From Karsten's manabase math to Saito's tournament mindset — five curated tracks across every format, with available archives and unavailable sources clearly labeled.

7 articles
Your First FNM
Starting out

Reid Duke · Karsten · Chapin · Kuisma · Saito — the foundations that win your first round.

10 articles
Preparing for an RCQ
Leveling up

PVDDR's 6 Heuristics · Manfield's prep routine · ladder strategy essentials — the curriculum from FNM regular to RCQ competitor.

9 articles
Pro Tour Preparation
Mastering

Saito's 6-part mindset series · Dagen · Moudou game theory — the international canon rescued from link rot.

5 articles
Commander Pod
Piloting 100 cards

Karsten adapted for singleton · Bracket System · Command Zone · Game Knights · EDHREC — the EDH canon 60-card sites ignore.

6 articles
Limited (Draft & Sealed)
Cracking packs

Limited Resources · 17Lands · LSV — the signals, the curves, and the data-driven coverage that changed how Limited is played.

What You Get

Castability

Model-based cast probability. The default estimate includes mana rocks and dorks; exact modes cover only their stated supported model.

Analysis Dashboard

Visual breakdown of your spells by category, curve insights, and performance diagnostics at a glance.

Mulligan Simulator

10,000 simulated hands help compare whether to keep or mulligan.

Export Blueprint
NEW

Download your analysis as PNG, PDF, JSON or CSV. Share on Discord or archive.

How It Works

1

Paste Your Deck

MTGO, MTGA, Moxfield & more

2

Get Probabilities

Mana estimates for supported spells and turns

3

Know Your Mulligans

Optimal thresholds for your archetype

New to manabase theory? Learn the math behind optimal deckbuilding

Local calculations

No account required

Auto-saved

Free & Open Source
MIT License
10,000
Samples per kept-hand size
5
Analysis tabs
No account
Required to analyze

Ready to Optimize?

Find out if your manabase can support your game plan